Trends derived from the monthly treasury report.

Good morning,

Thank you to the treasury for providing those interested with the relevant information necessary to predict trends in the United States Federal Government’s borrowing patterns.

Monthly Treasury Statement

Roughly a quarter of the US Debt is less than a year in duration. The Federal Government’s Interest Rate Payments are sensitive to rate changes.

Let us hope this is considered when the new stimulus bill is voted on. If our debt follows its current trend, I expect tax revenue will no longer be able to cover interest payments on our debt by year 2038. 2037 if the stimulus bill is passed.

Attached is a rough model. Please note it does not include trends in government spending, or the Fed’s balance sheet. It is just a quick, unchecked estimation.

United States interest rates and debt pr.

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Warmest Regards,

The Strategerist